Libertas vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
3 - 1
CAI
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FIO
1 - 4
LIB
12%
18%
69%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
3 - 0
FAE
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
MUR
4 - 0
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
SGI
1 - 4
LIB
11%
18%
71%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FOL
0 - 2
JUV
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
FIO
1 - 2
FOL
28%
26%
47%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
DOM
0 - 0
FOL
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 3
MUR
31%
25%
43%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
FOL
2 - 1
SGI
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |