Libertas vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SGI
1 - 1
LIB
17%
22%
61%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
DOM
1 - 0
LIB
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 0
SGI
78%
15%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
JUV
1 - 0
LIB
14%
20%
67%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
LIB
0 - 0
VIR
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
32%
25%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
FOL
2 - 0
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
FOL
0 - 1
CAI
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 0
FOL
66%
19%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 0
FOL
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |