Libertas vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
LIB
15%
21%
65%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
COS
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TFI
2 - 1
LIB
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
JUV
60%
21%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TPE
5 - 1
LIB
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
7 - 0
CAI
82%
14%
4%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 6
FIO
10%
22%
68%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TPE
1 - 2
FIO
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
3 - 1
SMA
69%
21%
11%
|
70 | 29 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 4
FIO
12%
18%
71%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | +1 |