Libertas vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
5º
9º
6º
25
5º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 0
LIB
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 3
LIB
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
SGI
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 3
LIB
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LIB
3 - 3
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FAE
1 - 2
TFI
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 0
FAE
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FAE
1 - 4
DOM
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 1
FAE
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FAE
3 - 0
CAI
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |