Libertas vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
COS
1 - 4
LIB
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CAI
1 - 1
LIB
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 2
SGI
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 4
VIR
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 2
FAE
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
FAE
2 - 2
FIO
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
DOM
0 - 4
FAE
53%
23%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FAE
0 - 1
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
FAE
5 - 0
FIO
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |