Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
LIB
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TFI
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
TFI
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SGI
1 - 3
LIB
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
LIB
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
FAE
0 - 3
COS
18%
23%
58%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COS
4 - 1
FAE
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 2
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COS
5 - 0
FOL
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |