Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 5
FOL
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 3
TPE
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 0
SGI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TFI
1 - 2
LIB
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TPE
2 - 0
COS
78%
14%
7%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
TPE
4 - 2
COS
82%
13%
6%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 2
MUR
17%
22%
62%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 0
COS
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 3
FAE
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |