Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TPE
1 - 0
LIB
74%
17%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
SGI
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 3
TFI
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
LIB
0 - 4
FIO
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 1
COS
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TPE
4 - 0
COS
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
COS
5 - 1
SGI
73%
16%
10%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
COS
2 - 0
VIR
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |