Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 2
LIB
20%
27%
53%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
FIO
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 3
TPE
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
LIB
53%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SGI
0 - 4
LIB
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
COS
2 - 3
VIR
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
COS
2 - 4
TPE
13%
18%
69%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
COS
1 - 3
TFI
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 3
COS
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |