Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 2
VIR
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
COS
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
LIB
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
FAE
1 - 2
LIB
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 0
SGI
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
40%
24%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COS
1 - 5
DOM
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
COS
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 5
COS
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
TPE
5 - 2
COS
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |