Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIB
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
33%
26%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 1
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
SGI
62%
22%
15%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 4
LIB
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 1
COS
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
33%
26%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
COS
2 - 2
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
5 - 0
COS
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 0
COS
40%
25%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |