Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 1
JUV
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 0
FAE
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
LIB
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SGI
0 - 3
LIB
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
CAI
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 2
COS
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 1
COS
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
22%
24%
55%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
COS
1 - 2
FAE
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |