Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
DOM
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 1
VIR
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
CAI
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
FIO
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
COS
0 - 4
PEN
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
COS
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
COS
0 - 1
FIO
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |