Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
TPE
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
FAE
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 0
LIB
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
TPE
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
FIO
4 - 0
LIB
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
TPE
1 - 0
COS
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
COS
1 - 1
DOM
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COS
1 - 1
SGI
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COS
0 - 0
TFI
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 1
COS
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |