Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 2
VIR
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 1
LIB
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
3 - 1
LIB
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
SGI
2 - 2
LIB
17%
22%
62%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 4
FAE
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
COS
1 - 0
SGI
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
COS
0 - 3
VIR
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
FIO
4 - 4
COS
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
FAE
1 - 0
COS
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
COS
2 - 1
FIO
75%
16%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |