Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FAE
0 - 0
LIB
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 2
TFI
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 2
LIB
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 2
JUV
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 0
TPE
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
COS
2 - 5
FOL
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
COS
2 - 4
JUV
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MUR
2 - 0
COS
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
COS
0 - 3
TFI
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |