Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
54%
23%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
2 - 0
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
TPE
0 - 1
LIB
29%
24%
48%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
4 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
TFI
0 - 1
LIB
30%
23%
47%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
MUR
2 - 4
COS
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
COS
6 - 3
TPE
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
COS
3 - 2
FIO
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
COS
3 - 1
TFI
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
0 - 0
COS
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |