Libertas vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
TPE
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
FAE
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 0
LIB
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
TPE
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 2
PEN
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAI
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAI
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 1
TPE
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 2
FAE
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |