Libertad Sunchales vs Argentino Quilmes Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad Sunchales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 0
SPO
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FDE
2 - 0
LIB
49%
22%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 2
COL
6%
16%
78%
|
34 | 80 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LIB
5 - 2
LSA
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LSA
1 - 1
LIB
12%
16%
73%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Argentino Quilmes Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AQR
1 - 2
FDE
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 3
AQR
47%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 0
AQR
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
AQR
1 - 2
LIB
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
PSM
1 - 2
AQR
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |