Libertad SC vs Chispa SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+121%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 3
DEI
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
XIL
0 - 1
LIB
48%
23%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
PAR
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chispa SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 1
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
4 - 2
RIB
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 1
ROM
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |