Libertad SC vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-92%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MOS
3 - 2
LIB
52%
23%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LIB
3 - 5
FAX
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 0
LIB
56%
22%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 2
MAR
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
XIL
0 - 0
LIB
31%
23%
47%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
4 - 1
POR
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
DEI
0 - 1
CAL
23%
21%
56%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MOS
0 - 0
CAL
15%
18%
66%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 0
FAX
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ROM
0 - 1
CAL
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |