Libertad Concordia vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LSA
2 - 0
LBC
31%
24%
46%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LBC
2 - 1
BHU
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
VIA
2 - 1
LBC
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LBC
1 - 0
BEL
49%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
URU
1 - 1
LBC
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DPR
2 - 0
COL
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LSA
2 - 1
DPR
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
DPR
2 - 1
BHU
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
VIA
0 - 2
DPR
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DPR
1 - 2
BEL
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |