Libertad Campo Santo vs Atlético Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad Campo Santo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
LIB
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
LIB
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
LAS
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
AMA
2 - 0
LIB
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
LIB
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
UNI
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 3
AMA
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
ATL
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 2
ATL
15%
23%
63%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
AGU
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | -1 |