Libertad vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 1
LQE
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
LIB
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPC
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CNI
0 - 2
UNI
35%
31%
34%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
GAL
68%
20%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPC
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
LIB
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
UNI
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |