Libertad vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 1
SPO
66%
22%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 3
OLI
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
45%
28%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 1
LIB
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ACS
0 - 2
UCO
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 1
IQU
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
COQ
1 - 2
UCO
18%
24%
59%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
COL
1 - 3
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |