Copa Libertadores qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 6-2
Libertad vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
4 - 0
GEN
63%
22%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
STR
1 - 1
LIB
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
AME
2 - 0
LIB
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
STR
5 - 0
SBW
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
STR
1 - 1
LIB
47%
24%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
OPE
2 - 1
STR
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
STR
4 - 1
RPO
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ROY
5 - 0
STR
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |