Libertad vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
LIB
26%
26%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 4
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ATT
0 - 2
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
STR
0 - 1
NAC
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
BLO
2 - 1
STR
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
STR
1 - 0
PEÑ
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
STR
2 - 1
AUR
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |