Libertad vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
15
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
37%
26%
36%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 1
LQE
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RES
0 - 2
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 1
JLM
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 0
TAC
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 2
GUA
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SPT
2 - 0
TAC
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |