Libertad vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
4 - 0
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 4
LIB
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 2
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 2
LIB
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 0
GUA
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 4
TAC
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 0
AME
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
12O
0 - 2
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |