Libertad vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LQE
0 - 2
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
CER
66%
22%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
IND
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CCP
3 - 3
LIB
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
3 - 2
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 2
CCP
15%
24%
62%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
RÑU
3 - 1
TAC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 2
CAR
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
TAC
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |