Libertad vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LQE
0 - 4
LIB
25%
28%
48%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 5
LIB
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
LIB
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
IND
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 3
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
TAC
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 0
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
TAC
56%
24%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 4
CCP
21%
26%
54%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |