Libertad vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
CCP
0 - 3
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
RÑU
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2009 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
2DE
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
GUA
4 - 0
LIB
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
TAC
3 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
TAC
4 - 1
OLI
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 0
TAC
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 3
RÑU
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
TAC
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |