Libertad vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 4
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
LIB
4 - 3
LQE
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 1
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
TAC
1 - 1
PET
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
CCP
0 - 0
TAC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
TAC
2 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
12O
1 - 1
TAC
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
TAC
1 - 1
2DE
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |