Libertad vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
12O
3 - 3
LIB
31%
28%
42%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
BAN
0 - 1
LIB
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 0
SPT
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIB
37%
27%
35%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 0
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
LQE
2 - 0
TAC
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 1
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
AME
1 - 1
TAC
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 4
CCP
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |