Libertad vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
LQE
2 - 3
LIB
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
SCI
2 - 0
LIB
59%
25%
17%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 0
SCI
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
TAC
1 - 0
GUA
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 2
TAC
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 2
OLI
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2006 |
2DE
2 - 2
TAC
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2006 |
TAC
1 - 1
12O
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |