Libertad vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
LIB
4 - 3
CCP
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 1
SPC
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LIB
0 - 0
12O
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 0
TAC
86%
9%
5%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
TAC
2 - 2
PAL
24%
24%
53%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
LQE
2 - 3
TAC
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
TAC
3 - 2
OLI
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |