Libertad vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
PAL
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
TIG
0 - 2
LIB
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
71%
20%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 0
SPC
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 0
TIG
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SPC
5 - 0
CIE
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
HUA
2 - 1
SPC
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
SPC
54%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |