Libertad vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 4
LIB
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LQE
2 - 2
LIB
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
AME
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AME
4 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
AME
3 - 2
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
6 - 2
AME
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |