Libertad vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 2
FLU
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 0
PET
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
LIG
2 - 0
LIB
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
LIB
4 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
AME
4 - 1
TAC
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PET
2 - 4
AME
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AME
1 - 3
NAC
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
CCP
2 - 1
AME
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
AME
1 - 3
LQE
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |