Libertad vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 5
LIB
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
LQE
0 - 3
LIB
30%
29%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
OLI
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
GEN
0 - 2
LIB
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
RÑU
1 - 3
DEP
33%
26%
40%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
RÑU
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
RÑU
2 - 2
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
LQE
1 - 1
RÑU
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 1
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |