Libertad vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 3
PAL
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
LIB
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
RÑU
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 4
CCP
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
RÑU
41%
26%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
RÑU
5 - 1
RPA
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |