Libertad vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
LIB
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 2
GEN
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 1
LIB
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 0
LIB
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 2
AME
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 1
RÑU
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 4
RÑU
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
RÑU
2 - 2
GUA
30%
25%
46%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
RÑU
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |