Libertad vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
LIB
27%
29%
44%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
TAC
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
LQE
1 - 2
LIB
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
43%
28%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 4
AME
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 4
RÑU
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
RÑU
1 - 0
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 0
RÑU
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
RÑU
0 - 3
CCP
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 4
RÑU
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |