Libertad vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2009 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
2DE
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
GUA
4 - 0
LIB
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
LIB
4 - 1
LQE
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
LIB
4 - 1
12O
70%
20%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
RÑU
0 - 2
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 3
RÑU
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
RÑU
0 - 1
CCP
33%
26%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
RÑU
3 - 5
OLI
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
AME
3 - 2
RÑU
51%
26%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |