Libertad vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
TEM
0 - 2
LIB
5%
13%
82%
|
80 | 40 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 3
LIB
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LQE
2 - 2
LIB
30%
25%
46%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 0
LQE
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
RPA
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 2
12O
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
RPA
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 2
AME
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |