Libertad vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 3
LIB
21%
25%
55%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 3
LIB
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
5 - 1
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
CEN
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 5
CCP
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
RPA
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
LQE
3 - 1
RPA
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
RPA
2 - 1
SPO
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +2 |