Libertad vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
SPO
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 1
LQE
24%
26%
51%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
AME
0 - 1
RPA
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 2
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CDL
3 - 0
RPA
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RPA
3 - 3
SPT
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |