Libertad vs Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
17
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
LIB
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
AME
2 - 5
LIB
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
0 - 1
LIB
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
5 - 0
CCP
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
JLM
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RES
1 - 1
JLM
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
RES
0 - 3
OLI
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
RES
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
RES
1 - 0
SPT
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 0
RES
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |