Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
10º
9º
44
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPT
2 - 1
LIB
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 2
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
ENC
0 - 2
LIB
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
45%
28%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 1
LIB
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
8%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
OLI
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 0
JLM
56%
23%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |