Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
1º
1º
31
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 3
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
LIB
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 4
LIB
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 0
OLI
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 0
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
JLM
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 3
FLU
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |